2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to the last four teams, and when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to face the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about yesteryear, these are dedicated to the overall game taking place.
The German squad haven't ever beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, just forget about over it, the past doesn't may play a role inside our planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is Germany never won against Italy in the major tournament, but so what?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's time website for Germany to win as they're the favourite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will likely be a hardcore, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong method with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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